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"How Much Money Can I Make from Gini Compared to Bitcoin?" This is a question we're asked frequently. The answer to this question depends on many factors (of course), but we can provide some historical data and an analytical framework that we use to justify our own perception of the long-run value and potensial price appreciation of any cryptocurrency. There are two basic ways to approach this question: Math and Reason. We'll start with the math first because it provides some useful context for the reason section. If the math is confusing, don't worry, just scan the math section and then scroll down to the "A Better Way to Communicate the Value of Gini" section.

Applying Bitcoin's Growth Rate to CryptoX.  Many people use Bitcoin's growth rate as a general base rate and then discount for various factors that they deem important. So, let's say the current price of Cryptocurrency X ("CryptoX") is $0.40. That price ($0.40) * 166,667x Bitcoin growth rate between Jul 2010 and Feb 2018 (paling rega pasar Bitcoin sing dipercaya yaiku Juli 2010) = $66,667 per CryptoX coin, which would imply a $1.7 quadrillion market cap based on a circulating CryptoX supply of, for example, 26 billion CryptoX units. (NB: To compute the percentage growth in this scenario, just multiply by 100: 166,667 * 100 = 16,666,667%.) Given Bitcoin's market cap was around $310 billion in Q1 2018, $1.7 quadrillion is probably not realistic (although hiperinflasi USD potensial certainly makes it possible), but that's the way the math works.

Kabeh Pasar Crypto Dipandu dening Pemahaman Kita Fiat Currencies. Pemahaman kita saka nyata possible market cap for Bitcoin, CryptoX, or any other cryptocurrency is based on whether we believe major fiat currencies are heading for hyperinflation or not. For example, in my analysis in "Bisa Gini Reach $ 10,000 Kaya Bitcoin?," we can see how numerous factors can converge to enable Gini (or any well-designed cryptocurrency) to hit those levels. Regardless of their exact future growth rate, it should be clear that there's a lot of growth ahead of any well-designed cryptocurrency.

Cara sing luwih apik kanggo Komunikasi Value of Gini

There are better ways to credibly communicate a cryptocurrency's risk-reward profile without getting sucked into complicated (and sakabehe sewenang-wenang) kalkulasi valuasi. Paling wong kudu nggawe keputusan miturut dhasar-dhasar dhasar kasebut:

  • Apa aku duwe mata uang discretionary (fiat utawa crypto) sing bisa aku ganti kanggo Gini? If not, don't buy Gini.
  • Apa aku kudu ngakses tuku discretionary ing 6 sasi? If so, don't buy Gini because short- to medium-run price volatility must be endured to increase the probability of realized gains.
  • Apa Gini luwih seneng ngurmati aset liyane sing bisa aku tuku? Yen mangkono, tuku Gini.
  • Apa Gini bisa ambruk nganti $ 0? If so, don't buy Gini. (Read the general Ringkesan cryptocurrency lan ing whitepaper Gini kanggo mangerteni sebabe Gini nduweni substansi luwih akeh lan nilai potensial jangka-panjang tinimbang cryptocurrencies liyane.)
  • Apa Gini duwe nilai kanggo masyarakat? Ora tuku Gini ndhukung pertumbuhan ekosistem Gini? Apa nilai-nilai sing penting kanggo sampeyan dhewe? Yen mangkono, tuku Gini.
  • Apa cryptocurrencies kelas aset jangka panjang sing layak utawa bakal pemerintah bisa mblokir wong nganggo? Cryptography ngalang-alangi pemerintah nonton transaksi crypto anggere cryptocurrency dirancang karo privasi transaksi sing kuat. This means there's no technical way for governments to stop humanity from using cryptocurrencies.1 Additionally, many large banks and several central banks are already setting up their own cryptocurrency trading operations. So, if you think cryptocurrencies are viable over the long-run, buy Gini. If not, don't buy Gini.
  • Sawise nindakake riset lan aku sinau babagan Gini, aku cukup mangerteni babagan Gini supaya bisa ngobrol-ngobrol sawetara duit discretionary kanggo Gini lan melu ekosistem Gini? If so, buy Gini. If not, don't buy Gini.

Substantive Dynamics Drive Long-Run Value & Appreciation. The questions above are much easier to ask and answer and they're much more meaningful overall than getting sucked into highly speculative and totally arbitrary valuation calculations. In fact, most people should focus on substantive questions about why Gini is intrinsically valuable both as an asset and as a cure for many of our world's economic and political problems because those are the fundamental drivers of Gini's long-run value and price appreciation.

Angka penawaran bahan bakar pasokan & tuntutan bakalan Long-Run Price Appreciation. Many governments make it more difficult to trade cryptocurrencies than fiat currencies; thus, the supply of Gini will be artificially constrained. Just like the idiotic "perang ing obatan," which creates unfulfilled demand and artificially high prices for drugs by artificially constraining supply, the government-induced cryptocurrency supply shortage creates unfulfilled and rapidly growing demand for cryptocurrencies, which ensures that the price of apik-dirancang cryptocurrencies bakal munggah liwat jangka panjang. That doesn't mean there won't be many short- and medium-run spikes and dips, but these supply-and-demand dynamics will put upward pressure on the price of well-designed cryptocurrencies for many years to come because many governments will continue trying to slow the adoption of cryptocurrencies, but they will never be able to stop them.

Ora Ana Alesan Nyoto Ora Partisipasi ing Ekosistem Gini. Given all the factors we've covered so far and the toxic state of debt and broken monetary policies in virtually all countries on Earth today, there is a huge and unfulfilled multi-trillion-dollar demand for trustworthy and technically sound cryptocurrencies. Thus, the probability of Gini appreciating is far higher than the probability of any debased fiat currency appreciating. So, whether somebody makes 100%, 500%, 10,000%, 100,000%, or 1.7 million-percent returns from a buy-and-hold Gini strategy, does it really change the final decision? What other asset can people buy and realistically expect anything close to those returns? As long as people are only using discretionary funds, there's no rational reason not to allocate a portion of their discretionary funds to a well-designed cryptocurrency as part of a long-term buy-and-hold strategy.

DISCLAIMER: Artikel iki ora saran investasi utawa solicitation kanggo tuku / ngedol sekuritase. Ana risiko sing jelas ing pasar mata uang lan wong bisa nggawe dhuwit ing pasar. Kita wis nyedhiyani data sajarah sing bisa diverifikasi, cara sing logis, cukup kanggo nganalisa data, lan seri pitakonan sing penting kanggo mbantu wong mutusake supaya bisa entuk manfaat utawa ora ngakoni ekosistem Gini. Wekasane, saben wong kudu mutusake apa kahanan financial individu sing cocok sadurunge padha melu ing ekosistem Gini.


[1] Nanging, minangka gambaran ing Gini film, blacklists pamaréntahan cryptocurrency bakal ngrusak Bitcoin lan sakbenere kabeh cryptocurrency liya sing ora duwe privasi transaksi sing kuwat.

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