Bisa Gini Reach $ 10,000 Kaya Bitcoin?

Somebody recently asked me: "Can other cryptocurrencies reach the $10,000 point like Bitcoin?" Below is a summary of my responses.

Ya, Price of Any Cryptocurrency Well-Directed Can Reach $ 10,000 lan Luwih Luwih. Kanggo mangerteni apa sing bener, kita kudu ngerti kepriyé rejeki aset lan tingkat rega ekonomi bisa digarap. Rega saka sembarang bondho adhedhasar mata uang ing endi kasebut. Rega saka sembarang mata uang ditemtokake dening kurs sawijining. Tingkat ijol-ijolan ditemtokake dening imbangan pembayaran antarane negara (sing ditemtokake dening Akun Saiki lan Akun Ibukutha), anané / anané defisit perdagangan, tingkat inflasi antar bank sing tetep, kompetènsi para pembuat kebijakan ékonomi lan bank sentral ing ngatur dhuwit dhuwit lan suku bunga, pemahaman bondholders ing kemampuan negara kanggo mbayar utang. . . lan sawetara faktor liyane.

Asset Prices Gumantung Tingkat Economy-Wide Price. All the factors above determine the supply/demand of a currency, which determines the currency’s exchange price, which determines the price levels throughout an entire economy for all goods and services. To understand how all this fits together: During the Weimar Germany period after WWI, the cost of a loaf of bread in Germany was 2 trillion Reichsmarks in 1923. Why? Because economically ignorant British, French, and American politicians at the 1918 Paris Peace Conference imposed their short-sighted, ill-fated Versailles Treaty on Germany, which was so economically oppressive on the Germans that it choked Germany's economy to death. This spawned radical Nazism, Hitler, and WWII. Even worse hyperinflation occurred in Hungary (1946) and Zimbabwe (~2008).

Apa Currency is Gini Denominated In? Mata uang, kayata aset liyane, bisa denominasi ing mata uang liyane; lan "mata uang" bisa dadi apa-apa. Ing kasunyatan, aset / itungan bisa denominasi ing USD, EUR, emas, lollipop, apel, kartu baseball, Pokémon, rokok. . . tegese apa wae sing loro utawa luwih counterparties sarujuk karo nilai ijol-ijolan. Dadi, nalika kita ngomong babagan "rega" apa-apa, kita lagi ngomong babagan rega relatif kanggo sawetara liyane. Item sing padha (contone, kilo emas) bisa uga duwe "rega" saka 250,000 apel, 4 yuta Yen Yen, 100.000 Pokémon, USD45.000, lan 1 juta lollipop. Mangkono, pitakonan ora mung "rega" saka Gini (utawa cryptocurrency liya) bisa nganti $ 10.000; iku apa mata uang sing kita pricing Gini ing; lan yen rega Gini wis denominasi ing USD, banjur apa rega Gini bakal relatif marang rega USD?

USD Inflasi. Akeh koran biaya $ 0,01 ing taun 1900. Dina iki, rega koran 500-1.000 kali luwih dhuwur (gumantung saka kertas). Kenapa? Amarga, wiwit karo Perang Spanyol-Amerika ing taun 1899, para politisi AS wis melu perang manca kanggo nyebarake imperialisme ekonomi miturut bendera palsu "nyebar demokrasi." Saben perang kasebut duweni biaya miliaran dolar utawa triliun. Ing wektu Federal Reserve diwenehi saka Pulo Jekyll ing taun 1913, USD wis ilang saklawasé 30% saka nilai amarga USG wis duwe pencetakan print mlaku kanthi kacepetan lengkap.

Siklus Perang, Utang, Inflasi, USD Debasement. Mangkono, Fed ora minangka sabab utama karusakan saka USD; Fed mung minangka mekanisme sing nyediakake politisi korupsi lan / utawa ekonomi sing ora ngerti ing Gedung Putih lan Kongres kanggo nyithak dhuwit tanpa njupuk tanggung jawab politik langsung kanggo dhuwit. Dhuwit sing dicithak banjur nyirip ing kali manca perang manca perang lan nambah ketegangan internasional, sing ngasilake komplotan militèr-industri, sing ngasilake perang liyane, utang liyane, utang inflasi / inflasi, infinitum.

Gini kanggo Alpha Centauri lan Beyond! Saiki, kita bisa miwiti fokus khusus ing babagan apa Gini (utawa cryptocurrency sing dirancang kanthi apik) bisa lan bakal nemokake rega $ 10,000 malah luwih dhuwur. Ana luwih saka $ 1 quadrillion ing persediaan dhuwit lan kontrak derivatif gabungan ing Bumi dina iki. Saben unit mata uang, aset, lan kontrak turunan kudu denominasi ing bab. Kaya sing kita sinau ing ndhuwur, bisa denominasi ing lollipops, USD, Bitcoin, Gini, lan liya-liyané. Paling wong saiki mbokmenawa bakal nampa USD, nanging apa sing kedadeyan nalika USD ambruk kaya Reichsmark Jerman amarga kita duwe ora cekap, ngrusak, politisi ngapusi dhuwit dhuwit lan nyedhot planet kita karo utang tanpa utang? Rega barang sing denominasi ing USD bakal ngluwihi wates ing Bulan; bakal ngepalake Alpha Centauri. Yen ora, yen rega Gini relatif marang USD uga bakal ngluwihi wates rega sakabèhé ing sembarang pasar denominasi USD.

Pengawetan Kekayaan. Nalika mata uang hyperinflate, investor pinter lan warga rasional nindakake kabeh bisa kanggo nglindhungi kasugihan saka inflasi. Kanggo ngrampungake iki, dheweke uga mindhah aset menyang mata uang liya sing luwih efektif nahan nilai kasebut. (Iki fungsi "nyimpen nilai" saka itungan.) Nalika USD lan paling fiat mata uang hyperinflate, apa sing bakal dilakoni manungsa kanggo nglindhungi nilai saka kasugihan?

Nilai Drive Komunitas. If we, as a community, have done our job, humanity will naturally move a large portion of the $1 quadrillion of money supply and derivatives (humanity’s current “wealth”) into crypto-denominated assets, ideally crypto assets like Gini with sustainable monetary policies. That will simultaneously increase the exchange rate price of those crypto assets relative to USD, decrease the exchange rate price of USD relative to those crypto assets, and increase the intrinsic demand for those crypto assets, which will also increase Gini's price relative to all other fiat currencies because of the law of supply/demand with respect to any scarce resource.

Garis ing ngisor. USD wis ditakdirkan kanggo kuburan mata uang fiat bebarengan karo saben mata uang fiat sing wis teka lan ngliwati sajarah manungsa. Ora ana sing bisa prédhiksi wektu sing tepat saka runtuh, nanging faktor-faktor sing nyebabake USD ilang luwih saka 98% saka nilai wiwit taun 1900 mung tambah akeh kanggo akeh alasan. Iki tegese USD debasement lan inflasi sing padha akselerasi. Tegese rega kabeh aset lan mata uang denominasi USD bakal muncul kanthi proporsi langsung marang inflasi / inflasi USD. Dadi, iku ora mung bisa kanggo Gini (lan uga cryptocurrency sing dirancang kanthi apik) kanggo mencet $ 10.000, iki meh ora bisa dihindari.

A Penny Saved punika Penny Earned. In portfolio risk management, mitigating losses is even more important than maximizing profits because the human brain/emotions respond far more negatively to losing things than gaining things. (Many studies have confirmed this.) This psycho-biological dynamic is what drives the vast majority of the volume of institutional financial markets on Earth today. That’s why I've focused on wealth preservation up to this point. However, somebody recently asked, "But will the actual purchasing power of a cryptocurrency increase or just offset the collapsing value of the USD?"

4 Mekanisme Utama yang Bakal Tambah Gini Nyata Kasugihan. What I've explained above represents three mechanisms that will likely cause Gini's relative lan Nilai absolut (daya beli) kanggo nambah nalika inflasi USD tiba. Punika wonten ing wangun ingkang langkung cetha:(1) Spike rega inflasi (tambah nilai relatif).
(2) Intrinsik nyata Nilai tambah saka Gini (lan samubarang kriptografi sing dirancang kanthi apik) amarga dinamika supply / dinamika alam.
(3) Intrinsik nyata penghargaan nilai amarga owahan struktural ekonomi sing ora bisa ditindakake adoh saka fiat lan menyang cryptos paling dipercaya. (Ndarbeni sumber / pamindhahan, nanging asal saka sumber sebab sing beda.)
(4) Bonus kanggo pemangku kepentingan Gini: x% / taun bali ing kesetiaan kita marang platform berupa Gini's unique Value Streams.

Pennies Saved AND Earned = More Nyata Kasugihan. Nalika kabeh wong tuku $ 10,000 hamburger karo depreciating USD, sing nganggo appreciating Gini (lan cryptos sing dirancang apik) bakal dilestarekake lan entuk luwih akeh maneh nyata kasugihan saka pandhita. Iki tegese bakal bisa tuku hamburger luwih saka $ 10,000 tinimbang wong liya sing kejiret ing neraka fiat.

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